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The
bear market of 2000-2002 caught almost every investor with
complete surprise. Investors were lulled into complacency
with the daily reiterations by Wall Street analysts of the
bullish outlook for stocks. They were told to take the
long term approach, because shorter term investing was
"risky." The result: About $9 trillion of
wealth was wiped out.
But
for informed traders who followed our advice, this was one
of the greatest opportunities of a lifetime...by selling
short. You see, short selling enables you to make
incredible profits as stocks decline. Yes, that's right! You
too can laugh all the way to the bank when stocks
crash.
Wall
Street won't tell you that. And when Wall Street analysts
are asked on national TV about short-selling, they tell
you that "it's risky." Why is protecting
yourself and making money risky?
Wall
Street insiders make fortunes by selling short in bear
markets. But they don't want the public to do it. Short-selling is nothing more than selling first at a higher
price, and buying the stock back sometime in the future
at a lower price.
With
our SMARTE TRADER service you will trade with greater
confidence. We have no axe to grind, no investment
banking commissions to earn with the recommendations. You will be
sure that the advice and analysis comes from a
professional trader, not just someone who knows how to
write.
We Guarantee: You will not find any similar trading service
with a better track record, anywhere.
But
the financial reward of SMARTE TRADER advice is only half of it. If you are serious and
dedicated, you will become a superior trader, which will
bring monetary returns for the rest of your life.
You will learn to look at the markets in a totally
different way. You will ignore all the traps Wall Street
sets for you. You will learn the secrets of the inner
workings of the markets, what produces rallies and
plunges, how to identify tops and bottoms, and how to
profit from them.
The recent revelations about fraud and deception on Wall
Street have been known by Bert Dohmen's clients for 27
years. In fact, he has shown his clients how to use this
knowledge to protect themselves.
The
track record of our SMARTE TRADER
service speaks for itself. The superb results have made it
the premier and most successful subscription service for
short-term traders available anywhere. Testimonials from
floor traders on the exchange and hedge fund managers
attest to it.
What
Have We Done Lately?
This Chart shows some of our trading
recommendations in the year 2000.
NASDAQ
COMPOSITE YEAR 2000

But
now I want to give you some of the more recent history.
In
the years 2000-2002, we have experienced the most devastating market
decline, in terms of dollars, in history. Wall Street continued to advise
investors to "hold for the long-term." Well, that advice cost many
investors utter devastation of their retirement nest egg. And it had nothing
to do with the attack on Sept. 11. But our subscribers were prepared. They
sold and sold short.
One
of the leading mutual fund families at one time during this bear market, had
over 16% of its huge stock holding with a loss of 90% or more. So much for
"Buy and Hold."
But
one group made significant profits: short-term oriented traders, either
professionals or those who had the advice of the best professionals in the
business. And that includes subscribers to my SMARTE TRADER service.
SMARTE TRADER helped
investors and traders avoid the traps…and profit from the sharp declines by
selling short. It's the happiest bunch of investors you'll find anywhere. In
fact, in early October 2000, I compared the NASDAQ chart to that of gold in
early 1980's.
Here
is what I saw:
I predicted the NASDAQ Composite would eventually decline to 1500. (The
high had been over 5000) That prediction was considered "extreme",
but my target was reached! (See table to the left for the extraordinary
profits, as the market plunged again.)
"The
Fed Awakes"
I
could go on and tell you about my headline on December
5, 2000, "The Fed Awakes...." How in the middle of December I
predicted that the Fed would lower interest rates in the first week of
January 2001. In an unusual move between meetings, they
did!..
NASDAQ
COMPOSITE 2001

I could tell you about my headline on January 8, 2001 "Trading
Rally Ahead..."
My buy recommendations of that day produced superb profits over the next
three weeks. I also warned of "dangerous traps ahead..." I predicted the rally would
have a short life span of a few
weeks.
A big 61.8% of advisors were bullish, even more than at the euphoric NASDAQ
top in March 2000. And you should know, when most of the "experts"
agree, they are usually wrong.
My headline of February 2, 2001
reads: "The End of the Tech
Rally." I recommended selling and selling short. Over the next
weeks, technology and telecom stocks were demolished. The NASDAQ Composite
plunged 1000 points to a new bear market low. You won't get timely
analysis like this anywhere else... At any price.
Another
Perfect Turn!
A successful trader
knows that markets usually don't go in a straight line. He is always ready
to change his position when the indicators call for a trend reversal.
In late March 2001,
investors got very pessimistic, just when my indicators suggested that the
selling binge was ebbing. On April 5th, 2001 I recommended closing out all
short positions in anticipation of a strong rally. The next day the Dow
plunged 220 points. It was a perfect day to close out shorts with big
profits.
A few days later we
recommended numerous new buys. As you know now, the April-May upmove
was spectacular. Our subscribers once again made the perfect turn, from short to long.
Bear
Market Rally:
Sampling
of Trades
|
Name
of Stock
|
Symbol
|
Position
|
Days
Held
|
Gains
|
|
Conseco
|
CNC
|
Long
|
26
|
31.7%
|
|
Inhale
Therapeutics
|
INHL
|
Long
|
21
|
47.2%
|
|
JNI
Corp.
|
JNIC
|
Long
|
12
|
48.5%
|
|
Aeroflex
|
ARXX
|
Long
|
18
|
30.5%
|
|
Amgen
|
AMGN
|
Long
|
16
|
15.5%
|
|
Cree
|
CREE
|
Long
|
16
|
22.2%
|
|
Gilead
Sciences
|
GILD
|
Long
|
16
|
32.2%
|
|
ICOS
|
ICOS
|
Long
|
14
|
15.6%
|
|
Myriad
|
MYGN
|
Long
|
21
|
31.6%
|
|
Newport
Corp.
|
NEWP
|
Long
|
21
|
34.2%
|
|
Protein
Design Labs
|
PDLI
|
Long
|
21
|
31.6%
|
The
April-May 2001 market rally turned Wall Street bullish. In late May,
national TV featured all the well-known brokerage firm analysts with the
same message to investors: "Buy."
But I was skeptical, the markets were choppy and trading became more difficult.
But when my technical indicators started giving sell signals, I immediately
acted.
In July-early August 2001 I recommended a large number of short positions for my
subscribers in order to profit from the next market decline. Over the next
weeks, (not including the aftermath of the terrorist attack), these short sale
recommendations reaped huge profits, up to 46%. While most investors
trembled, subscribers to SMARTE TRADER
profited handsomely. For the results see the front page.
The
chart shows our major forecast of important turning points in the year
2001. Our subscribers know that we usually, but not always, catch such turns
within 1-2 days.
Note
how we pinpointed the bottoms of declines, and then the rally tops. For a
trader, its important not to be perpetually bullish or bearish. The market
goes in waves. In order to profit, you must go with the waves. You must be
like a champion surfer: when the wave runs out, you get off.
After
The CrashLook
at September 2001. After the terrorist attack, there was gloom and doom
everywhere. I wrote at the time, that once the stock markets reopened, after
a brief shakeout the market would rise strongly. It did!
The NASDAQ Composite rose 42% over the next 10
weeks. My "buy signal" of Sept. 24 and 27 (depending on the
service) were right on. My subscribers smiled as the perennial
"gloom and doomers" stayed on the side, and short-sellers were
bloodied.
Technical
analysis shows me what the insiders are doing. They know when business is
deteriorating, when their company is running out of cash, that the doors for
new financing are closed, etc. Wall Street analysts won't know that till you
have lost most of your money on the stock. But it takes years of experience to
interpret the signals correctly.
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